Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 9 August 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 44 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 7 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 9 at 3:46PM EDT until August 9 at 4:00PM EDT by NWS Grand Rapids MI
Urban PEI: 124,218 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- August 9, 2026 · score 43 · 15.3 km
- August 10, 2026 · score 43 · 16.9 km
- June 16, 2026 · score 34 · 19.5 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.79/1 |
| Coordinates | 42.3042, -86.1434 |
| Nearest City | Kalamazoo (46 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 124.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-08-09T19:46:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.13d0bf41ee8af46b47d05ef3797468cb |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-08-09T19:46:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-08-09T19:50:09.380Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Allegan, MI; Berrien, MI; Cass, MI; Van Buren, MI |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 9 at 3:46PM EDT until August 9 at 4:00PM EDT by NWS Grand Rapids MI |
| Expires | 2026-08-09T16:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Grand Rapids MI |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.13d0bf41ee8af46b47d05ef3797468cbd59e40e4.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bec9442d5229bcca9d4a65dcde70f51d7e551810.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b72d2d6f2c0075cea1b6f799d371e70f240df96b.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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